Races · house · 2018 · IL
house · open seat
Sara Dady vs Adam Kinzinger
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
Verified Likely R
likely-r
Money in this race
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2018-11-06Total IE spending
$130K
For candidates
$129K
Against candidates
$862
Latest filing: 11/6/2018
Source: FEC Schedule E
Source: FEC Schedule E
Adam Kinzinger (R)
$128K for ·
$862 against
Cash on hand
$1.0M
Total raised (cycle)
$1.8M
Total spent
$2.3M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $128K for WITH HONOR FUND, INC. Super PAC
- $862 against EVERYTOWN FOR GUN SAFETY ACTION FUND PAC
- $53 for ILLINOIS AGRICULTURAL ASSOCIATION ACTIVATOR POLITICAL INVOLVEMENT FUND (FED) 'ACTIVATOR'/'ILLINOIS FARM BUREAU ACTIVATOR' PAC
Sara Dady (D)
$1K for ·
$0 against
Cash on hand
$-16575
Total raised (cycle)
$382K
Total spent
$398K
Debts
$1K
Source: FEC
- $1K for MOVEON.ORG POLITICAL ACTION Super PAC
Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).
last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
- 5/7/2026 Likely R via pvi