Races · house · 2018 · ID
house · open seat

Aaron Swisher vs Mike Simpson

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Likely R — · 0 polls · 0 markets Rating 1d ago
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet

The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.

Where this race stands
Verified

Likely R

likely-r

Money in this race

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2018-02-21
Total IE spending
$862
For candidates
$0
Against candidates
$862
Latest filing: 2/21/2018
Source: FEC Schedule E
Mike Simpson (R)
$0 for · $862 against
Cash on hand
$267K
Total raised (cycle)
$1.1M
Total spent
$994K
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
Aaron Swisher (?)
$0 for · $0 against
Cash on hand
$7K
Total raised (cycle)
$133K
Total spent
$126K
Debts
$0
Source: FEC

Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).

last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
  • 5/7/2026 Likely R via pvi