Races · house · 2018 · CT
house · open seat
John Larson vs Jennifer Nye
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
Verified Tilt D
tilt-d
Money in this race
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2018-11-06Total IE spending
$190K
For candidates
$190K
Against candidates
$0
Latest filing: 11/6/2018
Source: FEC Schedule E
Source: FEC Schedule E
Jahana Hayes (D)
$189K for ·
$0 against
Cash on hand
$556K
Total raised (cycle)
$1.9M
Total spent
$1.3M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $130K for A NEW PROMISE Super PAC
- $32K for PROTECTING OUR VOTE PAC Super PAC
- $7K for AMERICAN FEDERATION OF STATE COUNTY AND MUNICIPAL EMPLOYEES AFL-CIO PAC
- $7K for HEROES UNITED PAC, DBA VOLUNTEER FIREFIGHTERS ASSOCIATION, DBA ASSOCIATION OF POLICE & FIRST RESPONDERS Super PAC
- $5K for SEIU COPE (SERVICE EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNION COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION) PAC
Manny Santos (R)
$1K for ·
$0 against
Cash on hand
$84
Total raised (cycle)
$76K
Total spent
$76K
Debts
$3K
Source: FEC
- $982 for NATIONAL RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY FUND Super PAC
- $250 for GUN OWNERS OF AMERICA, INC. PAC
Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).
last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
- 5/7/2026 Tilt D via pvi