Races · house · 2018 · CA
house · open seat

Jerry McNerney vs Marla Livengood

← CA house CA house →
Tossup — · 0 polls · 0 markets Rating 1d ago
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet

The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.

Where this race stands
Verified

Tossup

tossup

Money in this race

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2018-11-02
Total IE spending
$156
For candidates
$156
Against candidates
$0
Latest filing: 11/2/2018
Source: FEC Schedule E
Jerry McNerney (D)
$156 for · $0 against
Cash on hand
$169K
Total raised (cycle)
$1.2M
Total spent
$1.3M
Debts
$3K
Source: FEC
Marla Livengood (?)
$0 for · $0 against
Cash on hand
$2K
Total raised (cycle)
$100K
Total spent
$97K
Debts
$7K
Source: FEC

Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).

last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
  • 5/7/2026 Tossup via pvi