Races · house · 2018 · AR
house · open seat

Josh Mahony vs Steve Womack

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Likely R — · 0 polls · 0 markets Rating 1d ago
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet

The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.

Where this race stands
Verified

Likely R

likely-r

Money in this race

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2018-11-01
Total IE spending
$2K
For candidates
$719
Against candidates
$862
Latest filing: 11/1/2018
Source: FEC Schedule E
Steve Womack (R)
$0 for · $862 against
Cash on hand
$1.2M
Total raised (cycle)
$1.2M
Total spent
$1.2M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
Josh Mahony (D)
$719 for · $0 against
Cash on hand
$186
Total raised (cycle)
$266K
Total spent
$265K
Debts
$47K
Source: FEC

Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).

last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
  • 5/7/2026 Likely R via pvi