Races · house · 2014 · MD

house · open seat

John Sarbanes vs Charles A. Long

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Likely D — · 0 polls · 0 markets Rating 1d ago

Caution · early warning

Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet

The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.

Where this race stands

Verified

Likely D

likely-d

last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago

Rating history (1 change)

5/7/2026 Likely D via pvi